Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 82.01%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 5.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.81%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Westerlo win it was 0-1 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.