Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Eupen win it was 2-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.