Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RWD Molenbeek win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RWD Molenbeek win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RWD Molenbeek would win this match.