Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
KV Mechelen

Union SG
1 - 0
Mechelen

El Amine Amoura (54')
Nilsson (74'), Lapoussin (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bafdili (90+3')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Liverpool
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 0-0 Brugge
Sunday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawMechelen
62.82% (1.982 1.98)20.16% (-0.615 -0.62)17.01% (-1.368 -1.37)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-0.643 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.16% (0.481 0.48)39.83% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (0.498 0.5)62.19% (-0.499 -0.5)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.89% (0.70999999999999 0.71)12.11% (-0.711 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.33% (1.478 1.48)37.67% (-1.478 -1.48)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-1.253 -1.25)36.72% (1.253 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-1.279 -1.28)73.51% (1.279 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 62.82%
    Mechelen 17.01%
    Draw 20.16%
Union SGDrawMechelen
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.316 0.32)
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.405 0.41)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.191 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.035 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 62.82%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 17.01%

How you voted: Union SG vs Mechelen

Union SG
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Mechelen
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Mechelen
4-0
Union SG
Mrabti (38'), Hairemans (78'), Belghali (89'), Bates (90+5')

Thierry Lazare (83'), Puertas (90+4')
Mar 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Union SG
2-1
Mechelen
Lapoussin (10'), Teuma (56' pen.)
Ngoy (4')
Aug 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Mechelen
3-0
Union SG
Schoofs (44'), Thierry Lazare (51' og.), Ngoy (59')
Lavalee (60'), Schoofs (65')

Boone (11'), Ziani (56'), Teuma (58'), Lapoussin (88'), Puertas (90+1')
Dec 12, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Union SG
2-0
Mechelen
Vanzeir (35'), Teuma (55')
Francois (16'), Nielsen (46'), Burgess (69'), Van der Heyden (70')

Mrabti (13'), van Hoorenbeeck (52')
Aug 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Mechelen
3-1
Union SG
Cuypers (13'), Shved (55'), Storm (77')
de Souza Costa (8'), Shved (64')
Vanzeir (1')
Vanzeir (69'), Sorinola (90+1'), Nieuwkoop (90+3')