Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.