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Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Olympiacos

Fenerbahce
1 - 0
Olympiacos

Kahveci (11')
Szymanski (94')
FT
(aet)

Ortega (36'), Luis Mendilibar (37'), Podence (60'), Tzolakis (61'), Ntoi (72'), Masouras (90+4'), Hezze (112')
Ntoi (120+3')
Olympiacos win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fenerbahce and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 3-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, April 11 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We say: Fenerbahce 2-2 Olympiacos (Olmypiacos to win 5-4 on aggregate)

Judging by last week's contest, we can only predict goals for the reverse fixture. Fenerbahce will back themselves on home territory, yet we cannot see how they manage to keep their opponents out for the 90 minutes. With that in mind, we are backing a score draw, leading to Olympiacos progressing through to the last four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%).

Result
FenerbahceDrawOlympiacos
54.56% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 22.26%23.18% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 58.76% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)62.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86%43.14%
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 54.56%
    Olympiacos 23.18%
    Draw 22.26%
FenerbahceDrawOlympiacos
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.24%
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.98%
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 54.56%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Olympiacos

Fenerbahce
57.6%
Draw
18.9%
Olympiacos
23.5%
132
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Olympiacos
3-2
Fenerbahce
Fortounis (8'), Jovetic (32'), Chiquinho (57')
Retsos (67'), Masouras (78')
Tadic (68' pen.), Kahveci (74')
Kahveci (22'), Fred (73')
Nov 25, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Olympiacos
1-0
Fenerbahce
Tiquinho (90')
Ba (39'), Tiquinho (90')

Pelkas (90')
Sep 30, 2021 5.45pm
Group Stage
Fenerbahce
0-3
Olympiacos

Valencia (42'), Zajc (72')
Tiquinho (6'), Masouras (63', 68')
Reabciuk (38'), Abou Cisse (42'), Ba (45')
rhs 2.0
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