Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 83.02%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Pendikspor had a probability of 6.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 4-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%), while for a Pendikspor win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.