Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 1-2 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.