Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.