UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
1 - 0
Ferencvaros

(Olympiacos win 2-0 on aggregate)

El Kaabi (83')
Alexandropoulos (51'), Carmo (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Varga (2')
Makreckis (37'), Wingo (77'), Stankovic (86'), Ali Ben Romdhane (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions

Last Game: Olympiacos 4-0 OFI Crete
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ferencvaros

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros
Saturday, February 10 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Ferencvaros
52.78% ( 0.01)	22.85% ( -0)	24.37% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.17% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

-0.01)

42.01% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59% (

-0.01)

64.41% (

0.01)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

-0)

15.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.78% (

45.22% (

-0.01)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

-0.02)

30.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.02)

67.07% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 52.78%

Ferencvaros 24.37%

Draw 22.84%

Olympiacos	Draw	Ferencvaros
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.78%	1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.84%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 24.37%