Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Varda SE had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Varda SE win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.