Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 6
Dec 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Jevnaker Stadion

Varda SE
4 - 0
Ujpest

Ljujic (28+28', 28+28', 28+28', 28+28', 28+28', 28+28', 28+28', 28+28', 28+28', 28+28', 28+28'), Ilievski (34', 53'), Navratil (46'), Ambrose (53+53', 53+53', 53+53', 53+53', 53+53', 53+53', 53+53', 53+53', 53+53', 53+53', 53+53'), Nikolov (67'), Morschel (82+82', 82+82', 82+82', 82+82', 82+82', 82+82', 82+82', 82+82', 82+82', 82+82', 82+82')
Szeles (48'), Jovicic (57')
FT(HT: 12-11)
Mesanovic (6+6', 6+6', 6+6', 6+6', 6+6', 6+6', 6+6', 6+6', 6+6', 6+6', 6+6'), Jovicic (72+72', 72+72', 72+72', 72+72', 72+72', 72+72', 72+72', 72+72', 72+72', 72+72', 72+72')
Csoboth (27'), Mack (49')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Kisvarda and Ujpest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varda SE 1-2 Diosgyor
Sunday, December 10 at 12pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 Ujpest
Saturday, December 9 at 2.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varda SE would win this match.

Result
Varda SEDrawUjpest
38.7% (0.066000000000003 0.07)26.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)35.05% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (0.055 0.05)51.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)73.18% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (0.083999999999996 0.08)60.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Ujpest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Varda SE 38.7%
    Ujpest 35.05%
    Draw 26.25%
Varda SEDrawUjpest
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.7%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.05%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Ujpest
3-2
Varda SE
Ljujic (27'), Ambrose (53'), Morschel (81')
Ambrose (42'), Ganea (70'), Mack (90+13')
Mesanovic (6'), Jovicic (72')
Cipetic (23'), Otvos (34'), Kovacic (55'), Jovicic (56'), Balogh (90+13')