Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 11

Oct 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Paksi FC Stadion

Paksi SE
3 - 1
Varda SE

Szabo (16'), Windecker (45+3'), Mezei (80')
Lenzser (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Balogh (74')
Vida (2'), Melnyk (26')

Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Paksi SE and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paksi SE

All competitions

Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 Paksi SE
Saturday, October 21 at 1.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Goals
for

Varda SE

All competitions

Last Game: Varda SE 2-1 Mezokovesdi
Saturday, October 21 at 11.30am in Hungarian NB I

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.

Result
Paksi SE	Draw	Varda SE
50.3% ( -0.2)	24.44% ( 0.01)	25.26% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 53.85% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

0.13)

48.17% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

0.12)

70.33% (

-0.12)

Paksi SE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.83% (

-0.03)

19.17% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.16% (

-0.05)

50.84% (

0.05)

Varda SE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

0.23)

33.38% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99% (

0.25)

70.01% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Paksi SE 50.3%

Varda SE 25.26%

Draw 24.43%

Paksi SE	Draw	Varda SE
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.3%	1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.26%