Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Zalaegerszegi TE win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.