Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 19
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
3 - 1
Varda SE

Serafimov (28'), Kodro (60'), Flores (90+5')
Schon (36'), Flores (41'), Katona (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Camaj (11')
Camaj (19'), Melnyk (36'), Mesanovic (42'), Lippai (58'), Balogh (90+2')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

All competitions
Last Game: Fehervar 3-3 Zalaegerszegi TE
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I

Varda SE

All competitions
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-0 Varda SE
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
FehervarDrawVarda SE
42.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.44% (-0.038 -0.04)30.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.51% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.91% (0.152 0.15)53.09% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.33% (0.129 0.13)74.67% (-0.131 -0.13)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (0.077999999999989 0.08)24.67% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (0.109 0.11)59.2% (-0.111 -0.11)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (0.089999999999989 0.09)31.63% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (0.104 0.1)68.03% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 42.63%
    Varda SE 30.93%
    Draw 26.44%
FehervarDrawVarda SE
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.93%

rhs 2.0


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