Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
2 - 0
Mezokovesdi

Szabo (82'), Kastrati (90+4')
Kastrati (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Beriashvili (17'), Kallai (63'), Brtan (84')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Mezokovesd-Zsory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

All competitions
Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Puskas Academy 2-2 Fehervar
Friday, August 18 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I

Mezokovesd-Zsory

All competitions
Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ujpest 1-1 Mezokovesdi
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Mezokovesd-Zsory had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Mezokovesd-Zsory win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
FehervarDrawMezokovesd-Zsory
41.09% (0.415 0.41)26.69% (-0.19 -0.19)32.23% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 51.23% (0.527 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.702 0.7)53.66% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.59 0.59)75.16% (-0.586 -0.59)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (0.544 0.54)25.73% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (0.731 0.73)60.66% (-0.725 -0.73)
Mezokovesd-Zsory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.208 0.21)31.02% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (0.242 0.24)67.33% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 41.08%
    Mezokovesd-Zsory 32.23%
    Draw 26.68%
FehervarDrawMezokovesd-Zsory
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.47% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.23%