Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
2 - 1
Ujpest

Kastrati (80'), Karamoko (89')
Schon (39'), Christensen (81'), Kastrati (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ambrose (8')
Kosanovic (32'), Tajti (39'), Ambrose (49')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Ujpest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

All competitions
Last Game: Fehervar 4-0 Diosgyor
Saturday, October 28 at 1.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Ujpest

All competitions
Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-0 Ujpest
Sunday, October 29 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fehervar in this match.

Result
FehervarDrawUjpest
39.86% (-1.693 -1.69)25.03% (0.147 0.15)35.11% (1.543 1.54)
Both teams to score 57.45% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (-0.355 -0.36)45.97% (0.352 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (-0.337 -0.34)68.27% (0.33500000000001 0.34)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (-0.98100000000001 -0.98)22.91% (0.978 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (-1.467 -1.47)56.68% (1.465 1.47)
Ujpest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.739 0.74)25.46% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (0.997 1)60.29% (-1 -1)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 39.86%
    Ujpest 35.11%
    Draw 25.03%
FehervarDrawUjpest
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-0 @ 8.6% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.087 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.224 0.22)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.304 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.177 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.188 0.19)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.085 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.11%

Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 1
Ujpest
2-1
Fehervar
Ljujic (12'), Mack (42')
Antzoulas (15'), Ljujic (35'), Mack (77'), Pauljevic (82')
Csoboth (34')
Katona (47')
Katona (54'), Schon (90+7'), Schon (90+7')