Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion

Debrecen
3 - 1
Fehervar

Barany (6'), Domingues (33', 71')
Romanchuk (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Szabo (46')
Szabo (14'), Serafimov (56'), Karamoko (90')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Debrecen and Fehervar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Debrecen

All competitions
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-2 Debrecen
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Fehervar

All competitions
Last Game: Fehervar 3-0 MTK
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.

Result
DebrecenDrawFehervar
42.13% (-0.331 -0.33)27.07% (0.0040000000000013 0)30.79% (0.33 0.33)
Both teams to score 49.52% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (0.106 0.11)55.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (0.087 0.09)76.76% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Debrecen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.123 -0.12)26.06% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-0.168 -0.17)61.11% (0.171 0.17)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (0.29599999999999 0.3)33.02% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.324 0.32)69.61% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Debrecen 42.13%
    Fehervar 30.79%
    Draw 27.07%
DebrecenDrawFehervar
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 42.13%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.79%