Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2023 at 12pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
3 - 0
MTK

Katona (45+1'), Kalmar (54', 89')
Fiola (34'), Serafimov (40'), Gergenyi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiam (16')
Kadar (19'), Thiam (43')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and MTK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

All competitions
Last Game: Fehervar 3-1 Varda SE
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I

MTK

All competitions
Last Game: MTK 1-6 Ferencvaros
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
FehervarDrawMTK
28.93% (-1.265 -1.27)24.78% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)46.29% (1.346 1.35)
Both teams to score 55.75% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)47.07% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (-0.279 -0.28)69.31% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-1.038 -1.04)29.97% (1.035 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-1.267 -1.27)66.08% (1.265 1.27)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (0.46600000000001 0.47)20.39% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (0.735 0.73)52.82% (-0.738 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 28.93%
    MTK 46.29%
    Draw 24.78%
FehervarDrawMTK
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.258 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.115 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.312 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.93% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.221 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.11 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 46.29%