Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion

Debrecen
1 - 2
Ujpest

Kusnyir (74')
Ferenczi (21'), Kiziridis (45+1'), Bodi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morschel (80', 88')
Mack (53'), Ganea (90+2')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Debrecen and Ujpest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Paksi SE 2-0 Debrecen
Wednesday, September 27 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ujpest 0-2 MTK
Saturday, September 23 at 6.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
DebrecenDrawUjpest
44.55% (-1.318 -1.32)26.07% (0.207 0.21)29.37% (1.112 1.11)
Both teams to score 51.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)52.26% (0.271 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-0.231 -0.23)73.96% (0.233 0.23)
Debrecen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.735 -0.73)23.36% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-1.08 -1.08)57.33% (1.083 1.08)
Ujpest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.696 0.7)32.32% (-0.693 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.778 0.78)68.83% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Debrecen 44.55%
    Ujpest 29.37%
    Draw 26.07%
DebrecenDrawUjpest
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.251 0.25)
1-2 @ 7% (0.186 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.229 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.37%