Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 1.45pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
4 - 0
Diosgyor

Christensen (41'), Kodro (45+1', 84'), Kastrati (82')
Schon (32'), Toth (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gera (16'), Szatmari (45+7'), Farkas (50'), Acolatse (60'), Kampetsis (71')
Farkas (69'), Szatmari (86')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Diosgyor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

All competitions
Last Game: Debrecen 3-1 Fehervar
Sunday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Diosgyor

All competitions
Last Game: Diosgyor 1-2 Ferencvaros
Sunday, October 22 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
FehervarDrawDiosgyor
34.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03)24.32% (0.012999999999998 0.01)41.6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.76% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)42.87% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)65.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.6% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)59.1% (0.012 0.01)
Diosgyor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.74% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)53.37% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 34.08%
    Diosgyor 41.6%
    Draw 24.31%
FehervarDrawDiosgyor
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 41.6%