Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.45pm UK
Diosgyori Stadion
Ferencvaros

Diosgyor
1 - 2
Ferencvaros

Vancas Pozeg (69' pen.)
Pernambuco (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Botka (14'), Pesic (61')
Varga (28'), Abu Fani (45+3'), Wingo (68'), Marquinhos (75'), Botka (90+7')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Diosgyor and Ferencvaros.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ujpest 2-0 Diosgyor
Saturday, October 7 at 3.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-2 Debrecen
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
DiosgyorDrawFerencvaros
30.65% (-0.849 -0.85)25.78% (0.113 0.11)43.56% (0.732 0.73)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.754 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48% (-0.805 -0.81)50.52% (0.799 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (-0.716 -0.72)72.44% (0.712 0.71)
Diosgyor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (-0.98699999999999 -0.99)30.51% (0.982 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (-1.186 -1.19)66.73% (1.181 1.18)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.93% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Diosgyor 30.65%
    Ferencvaros 43.56%
    Draw 25.78%
DiosgyorDrawFerencvaros
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30.65%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 10.32% (0.326 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.045 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 43.56%