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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylul Stadyumu

Sivasspor
1 - 0
Karagumruk

Manaj (89')
Ciftci (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bertolacci (18'), Eysseric (71'), Gunter (75'), Veseli (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 4-1 Sivasspor
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Sivasspor 1-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Sivasspor can take some encouragement from their home form of late heading into what has proven to be a tricky fixture for them in the past. However, we are backing Karagumruk to go toe to toe with their hosts and come away with a point in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sivasspor in this match.

Result
SivassporDrawFatih Karagumruk
45.22% (-0.294 -0.29) 25.88% (0.37 0.37) 28.9% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-1.209 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (-1.555 -1.56)51.71% (1.551 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-1.367 -1.37)73.49% (1.363 1.36)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (-0.79299999999999 -0.79)22.81% (0.788 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (-1.187 -1.19)56.53% (1.184 1.18)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.86500000000001 -0.87)32.38% (0.861 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-0.985 -0.99)68.9% (0.98099999999999 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 45.21%
    Fatih Karagumruk 28.9%
    Draw 25.88%
SivassporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.446 0.45)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.316 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.9%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Karagumruk

Sivasspor
45.0%
Draw
55.0%
Fatih Karagumruk
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 12
Karagumruk
3-0
Sivasspor
Eysseric (42'), Yalcin (79'), Dursun (85')
Keles (57'), Mercan (73')

Erdal (45+5'), Emre Konak (70')
Mar 4, 2023 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Karagumruk
4-3
Sivasspor
Diagne (45+4', 53', 80'), Ozdoyev (69')
Caicedo (27'), James (90+1', 90+6')
Sep 3, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 5
Sivasspor
0-0
Karagumruk
Ciftci (12')
Ciftci (88')
Dursun (44'), Borini (45+1')
Feb 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Karagumruk
1-0
Sivasspor
Borini (68' pen.)
Durmaz (87'), Bekaroglu (90+1')

Cofie (44'), Ciftci (67'), Gradel (90'), Atakan Kesgin (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Sivasspor
4-0
Karagumruk
Kayode (1'), Goutas (50'), Felix (56'), Gradel (71')

Zukanovic (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33293177215690
2Fenerbahce33275187305786
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor331741256431355
4BesiktasBesiktas33156124438651
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul33147124438649
6Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor33146134349-648
7KasimpasaKasimpasa33137135559-446
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor331112104346-345
10SivassporSivasspor331112104045-545
11Adana Demirspor33914104944541
12Samsunspor33109143743-639
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu33813124043-337
14KayserisporKayserispor331010133747-1037
15KonyasporKonyaspor33812133447-1336
16GaziantepGaziantep3397173750-1334
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
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RIstanbulspor3347222661-3516


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