Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sivasspor in this match.