Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.