Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.