Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Zeki Yavru 10' goal
  • Ercan Kara 57' goal

Samsunspor vs Kayserispor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 1.00pm
Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Samsunspor
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Marius Mouandilmadji

Kayserispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Jan 22, 2024 5.00pm
Kayserispor 0 - 1 Istanbulspor
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Mame Thiam

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result

Samsunspor 61.77% (+0.02)
Draw 21.17% (-0.02)
Kayserispor 17.06% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.24% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.66% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 44.34% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 33.29% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 66.71% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.99% (-0.04)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 86.18% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 13.82% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 58.84% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 41.16% (-0.04)

Kayserispor Goals

Over 0.5 60.62% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.38% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 23.92% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 76.08% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Samsunspor 61.76%
Draw 21.16%
Kayserispor 17.06%
Samsunspor
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 61.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.16%
Kayserispor
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.06%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Kadir Has Sehir Stadi
  • Anthony Uzodimma 16' goal
  • Mame Thiam 38' goal
  • goal Marius Mouandilmadji 21'