Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 0
Sivasspor

van Drongelen (4'), Holse (36')
Yavru (45'), van Drongelen (57'), Ozturk (73'), Dimata (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Koita (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-1 Samsunspor
Thursday, January 11 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, January 11 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawSivasspor
56.79% (0.026999999999994 0.03)23.46% (-0.02 -0.02)19.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (0.067999999999998 0.07)49.96% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (0.061 0.06)71.95% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.2% (0.060000000000002 0.06)47.8% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.38% (0.028999999999996 0.03)39.62% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.7% (0.029 0.03)76.3% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 56.79%
    Sivasspor 19.74%
    Draw 23.46%
SamsunsporDrawSivasspor
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 19.74%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sivasspor
1-1
Samsunspor
N'Jie (11')
Emre Konak (61'), Camara (90+7')
Van Drongelen (78')
Fofana (45')
rhs 2.0


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