Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28

Mar 3, 2024 at 4pm UK

Vodafone Park (Istanbul)

Besiktas
0 - 1
Galatasaray

Tosun (55'), Ghezzal (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Elmusrati (2' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions

Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-2 Besiktas
Sunday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Galatasaray

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, February 26 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Galatasaray
37.04% ( -0.21)	24.55% ( 0.24)	38.41% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 59.41% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.47% (

-1.14)

43.53% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.08% (

-1.13)

65.92% (

1.13)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

-0.63)

23.27% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

-0.93)

57.2% (

0.93)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43% (

-0.52)

22.57% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

-0.78)

56.16% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 37.04%

Galatasaray 38.41%

Draw 24.54%

Besiktas	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.04%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.41%