Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Buducnost Podgorica had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Buducnost Podgorica win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.