Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.