Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kasimpasa in this match.