Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25
Feb 11, 2024 at 1pm UK
Bahcelievler Il Ozel Idare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
1 - 3
Gaziantep

Loshaj (6')
Loshaj (30'), Yesil (45+1'), Erdogan (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dragus (15', 60' pen.), Sorescu (90+5')
Dragus (75'), Mbakata (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Istanbulspor
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawGaziantep
40.19% (0.323 0.32)25.76% (-0.026 -0.03)34.05% (-0.292 -0.29)
Both teams to score 54.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (0.062000000000005 0.06)49.39% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (0.053999999999998 0.05)71.43% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.19499999999999 0.19)24.26% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.272 0.27)58.63% (-0.267 -0.27)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.149 -0.15)27.72% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.194 -0.19)63.29% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 40.19%
    Gaziantep 34.05%
    Draw 25.75%
IstanbulsporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.05%

How you voted: Istanbulspor vs Gaziantep

Istanbulspor
40.0%
Draw
34.3%
Gaziantep
25.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Gaziantep
2-0
Istanbulspor
Dragus (74'), Ajeti (90+5')
Bikel (46')

Temel (20'), Yilmaz (55'), Rroca (64'), Erdogan (78'), Yesil (88')
Jun 3, 2023 5pm
Jan 9, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Istanbulspor
1-1
Gaziantep
Ethemi (90+12' pen.)
Jevtovic (38')