Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.