Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
3 - 0
Samsunspor

Strandberg (3'), Dele-Bashiru (89'), Rivas (90+2')
Alici (34'), Demirel (35'), Ghoulam (60'), Kardesler (69'), Maksimovic (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kilinc (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, March 10 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Samsunspor

All competitions
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawSamsunspor
40.09% (-0.636 -0.64)26.66% (0.303 0.3)33.25% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 51.59% (-0.88 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (-1.166 -1.17)53.34% (1.167 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (-0.996 -1)74.88% (0.997 1)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.872 -0.87)26.12% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-1.184 -1.18)61.18% (1.185 1.19)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (-0.361 -0.36)30.17% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-0.438 -0.44)66.33% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 40.08%
    Samsunspor 33.25%
    Draw 26.66%
HataysporDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 40.08%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.355 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.335 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Samsunspor

Hatayspor
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Samsunspor
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 11
Samsunspor
2-1
Hatayspor
Kara (77' pen.), Schindler (90+9')
Gisdol (0'), Tirpan (45+5'), Ait Bennasser (77'), Schindler (90+10')
Lamkel Ze (36')
Massanga (45+1'), Saglam (45+3'), Alici (62'), Ghoulam (71'), Fernandes (76'), Kardesler (78')
Fernandes (90+11')
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