Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.