Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 29
Mar 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 1
Ankaragucu

Holse (12'), Ntcham (82')
Tait (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ozturk (14' og.)
Saponara (19'), Kitsiou (52'), Cigerci (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Ankaragucu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Samsunspor
Sunday, March 3 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Istanbulspor
Saturday, March 2 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawAnkaragucu
53.62% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)24.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)21.52% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (0.073 0.07)53.36% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)74.9% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (0.025000000000006 0.03)19.87% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)51.97% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (0.064 0.06)39.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (0.058 0.06)76.38% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 53.61%
    Ankaragucu 21.52%
    Draw 24.85%
SamsunsporDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 12.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.52%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Ankaragucu
2-0
Samsunspor
Bekiroglu (71'), Sowe (75')

van Drongelen (54'), Celik (81')