Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 78.78%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 7.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.