Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30

Mar 17, 2024 at 1pm UK

Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
3 - 4
Galatasaray

Icardi (34' og.), Kara (57'), da Costa (77')
Ben Ouannes (14'), Ugurlu (15'), Omeruo (29'), Gul (53'), Kara (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mertens (27'), Icardi (48', 83'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions

Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Galatasaray

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Galatasaray 6-2 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, March 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Galatasaray
26.48% ( -0.6)	22.86% ( 0.1)	50.66% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 60.35% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

-0.95)

40.12% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

-0.99)

62.49% (

0.99)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

-0.93)

28.16% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16% (

-1.2)

63.84% (

1.2)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

-0.17)

16.01% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.67% (

-0.31)

45.33% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 26.48%

Galatasaray 50.66%

Draw 22.86%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.62% Total : 26.48%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.66%