Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Istanbulspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
17.02% ( -0.08)	21.72% ( -0.49)	61.25% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 50.39% (

1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.22% (

1.92)

46.78% (

-1.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.96% (

1.77)

69.04% (

-1.77)

Istanbulspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.12% (

1.05)

40.88% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.55% (

0.92)

77.45% (

-0.92)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

0.83)

14.77% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.98% (

1.56)

43.02% (

-1.56)

Score Analysis

Istanbulspor 17.02%

Fatih Karagumruk 61.24%

Draw 21.72%

Istanbulspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.02%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.72%	0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.61) 0-2 @ 11.04% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 7.04% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 3.37% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.46% Total : 61.24%