Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 1
Jul 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano
2 - 1
Grasshopper

Przybylko (61'), Bislimi (90+1')
Cimignani (22'), Lukas Mai (24'), Bislimi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morandi (25' pen.)
Morandi (56'), Maurin (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Grasshopper Zurich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Servette
Saturday, May 25 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Grasshopper Zurich

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Thun 1-2 Grasshopper
Friday, May 31 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawGrasshopper Zurich
48.2% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25.3% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)26.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.030000000000001 0.03)21.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)53.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Grasshopper Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)33.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)70.42% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 48.2%
    Grasshopper Zurich 26.5%
    Draw 25.3%
LuganoDrawGrasshopper Zurich
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 48.2%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Lugano vs Grasshopper

Lugano
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Grasshopper Zurich
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 32
Grasshopper
0-1
Lugano

Morandi (64'), Valenzuela (79')
Celar (10' pen.)
Celar (40'), El Wafi (47'), Valenzuela (89'), Espinoza (90+6')
Mahmoud (76')
Jan 31, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Lugano
0-0
Grasshopper
Momoh (2'), Abrashi (35'), Abels (64')
Oct 22, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Grasshopper
2-1
Lugano
Schurpf (71'), Ndenge (90+3')
Morandi (50'), Corbeanu (81')
Hajdari (83')
Lukas Mai (73'), Bislimi (90+2')
Apr 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
Lugano
5-1
Grasshopper
Aliseda (25', 78'), El Amine Amoura (59', 64'), Celar (70')
Demhasaj (45+3')
Apr 2, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 26
Grasshopper
2-1
Lugano
Shabani (41'), Pusic (67')
Celar (30')