Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grasshopper Zurich win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grasshopper Zurich would win this match.