Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.