Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Schutzenwiese
Lugano

Winterthur
2 - 2
Lugano

Schneider (63'), Turkes (84')
Arnold (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cimignani (48'), Espinoza (83')
Grgic (58'), Hajdari (87')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Zurich 0-0 Winterthur
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-0 Basel
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
28.82% (-0.491 -0.49)22.3% (0.111 0.11)48.88% (0.382 0.38)
Both teams to score 64.45% (-0.783 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.42% (-0.878 -0.88)35.58% (0.878 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.36% (-0.978 -0.98)57.64% (0.97900000000001 0.98)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (-0.74799999999999 -0.75)24.21% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (-1.075 -1.08)58.55% (1.076 1.08)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)14.96% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.61% (-0.366 -0.37)43.39% (0.368 0.37)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 28.82%
    Lugano 48.88%
    Draw 22.3%
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.14% (0.115 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.3%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.14% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.97% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 48.88%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 17
Lugano
2-1
Winterthur
Steffen (39'), Celar (83')
Mahmoud (16'), Hajdari (35'), Arigoni (74'), Hajrizi (90+3'), Bislimi (90+4')
Ballet (90+2')
Burkart (82'), Schattin (83'), Ramizi (90+7')
Sep 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Winterthur
2-3
Lugano
Burkart (68'), Buess (90+3')
Stillhart (31'), Rahmen (32'), Schattin (62'), Jankewitz (85')
Vladi (22'), Alexandre Costa Marques (70'), Mahmoud (73')
Hajdari (33'), Macek (49'), Cimignani (62'), Steffen (83'), Sabbatini (89')
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Lugano
2-1
Winterthur
Aliseda (15'), Arigoni (21')
Ardaiz (16')
Feb 5, 2023 3.30pm
Nov 13, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lugano
3-1
Winterthur
Celar (7', 15'), El Amine Amoura (89')
Di Giusto (20')