Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Stadio di Cornaredo

Renato Steffen 41'
Albian Hajdari 44'
Roman Macek 52'
Renato Steffen 69'

Mohamed Drager 55'
Dion Kacuri 55'
Jean-Kevin Augustin 64'
Axel Kayombo 66'
Fabian Frei 67'

Lugano vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
L

Swiss Super League

W
W
W
W
W
L

Last game

Mar 30, 2024 5.00pm

SLO 1 - 3 Lugano

Goals scored

67

Top scorer

Zan Celar

Basel

All competitions

D
D
L
L
W
L

Swiss Super League

D
D
L
L
W
L

Last game

Mar 30, 2024 7.30pm

Basel 2 - 2 FC Zurich

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Thiemo Barry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result

Lugano 43.35% ▼ (-1.11)

Draw 23.92% ▲ (+0.33)

Basel 32.73% ▲ (+0.78)

Both Teams to Score:

60.72% ▼ (-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.58% ▼ (-1.28)

Under 2.5 41.42% ▲ (+1.28)

Over 3.5 36.18% ▼ (-1.31)

Under 3.5 63.82% ▲ (+1.31)

Over 4.5 19.15% ▼ (-1.01)

Under 4.5 80.84% ▲ (+1.00)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 80.63% ▼ (-0.99)

Under 0.5 19.36% ▲ (+0.99)

Over 1.5 48.85% ▼ (-1.65)

Under 1.5 51.15% ▲ (+1.64)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 75.3% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 0.5 24.7% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 1.5 40.76% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 1.5 59.23% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

Lugano 43.35%

Draw 23.92%

Basel 32.73%

Lugano

2-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.08)

1-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.21)

2-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.21)

3-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.13)

3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.16)

4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.15)

4-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.11)

4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.12)

Other @ 3.24%

Total : 43.35%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.25)

2-2 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.09)

0-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.27)

3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 0.25%

Total : 23.92%

Basel

1-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.14)

0-1 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.36)

0-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.23)

1-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.05)

2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.06)

0-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.10)

1-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)

2-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 2.71%

Total : 32.73%

Head to Head

Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT St. Jakob-Park

Nicolas Vouilloz 64'

Renato Steffen 69'
Milton Valenzuela 72'
Uran Bislimi 81'
Zan Celar 89'

Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT Stadio di Cornaredo

Roman Macek 25'
Renato Steffen 49'
Roman Macek 54'
Shkelqim Vladi 77'
Amir Saipi 89'

Dominik Schmid 18'
Kevin Ruegg 21'
Jonathan Dubasin 29'
Dorde Jovanovic 61'
Mirko Salvi 86'
Renato Veiga 89'
Leon Avdullahu 89'
Leon Avdullahu 89'
Romeo Beney 90'+2'

May 21, 2023 3.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Andi Zeqiri 34'

Renato Steffen 84'

Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm

2

2

HT : 2 0

FT

Zan Celar 33'
Ignacio Aliseda 38'

Darian Males 74'
Michael Lang 83'

Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Hicham Mahou 33'

Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Taulant Xhaka 32'

Allan Arigoni 4'
Fabio Daprela 42'
Milton Valenzuela 87'
Boris Babic 90'+1'
Amir Saipi 90'+2'
Hadj Mahmoud 90'+4'

Form Data

SLO 1 - 3 Lugano

Lugano 2 - 0 Yverdon Sport

St Gallen 2 - 3 Lugano

Luzern 0 - 1 Lugano

Lugano 2 - 0 FC Zurich

Servette 2 - 1 Lugano

Basel 2 - 2 FC Zurich

Basel 1 - 1 Winterthur

Young Boys 5 - 1 Basel

Basel 1 - 2 Lausanne

Yverdon Sport 0 - 2 Basel

Grasshopper 2 - 1 Basel