Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.