Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.34%) and 0-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.