Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.