Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.