Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Thun had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 0-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Thun win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.