Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 36
May 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Winterthur

Lugano
4 - 2
Winterthur

Sabbatini (43'), Bislimi (49'), Steffen (67'), Celar (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Turkes (27'), Burkart (87')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Lugano
Saturday, May 11 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Last Game: Winterthur 1-3 FC Zurich
Sunday, May 12 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawFC Winterthur
55.28% (0.738 0.74)21.85% (-0.279 -0.28)22.88% (-0.458 -0.46)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.03% (0.777 0.78)38.97% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.71% (0.81 0.81)61.29% (-0.81 -0.81)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.5 0.5)14.06% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (0.97 0.97)41.64% (-0.97 -0.97)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (0.045000000000002 0.05)30.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.052 0.05)66.57% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 55.28%
    FC Winterthur 22.88%
    Draw 21.85%
LuganoDrawFC Winterthur
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.155 -0.15)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.38% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.07 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.28%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: Lugano vs Winterthur

Lugano
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
FC Winterthur
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 31
Winterthur
2-2
Lugano
Schneider (63'), Turkes (84')
Arnold (82')
Cimignani (48'), Espinoza (83')
Grgic (58'), Hajdari (87')
Dec 10, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 17
Lugano
2-1
Winterthur
Steffen (39'), Celar (83')
Mahmoud (16'), Hajdari (35'), Arigoni (74'), Hajrizi (90+3'), Bislimi (90+4')
Ballet (90+2')
Burkart (82'), Schattin (83'), Ramizi (90+7')
Sep 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Winterthur
2-3
Lugano
Burkart (68'), Buess (90+3')
Stillhart (31'), Rahmen (32'), Schattin (62'), Jankewitz (85')
Vladi (22'), Alexandre Costa Marques (70'), Mahmoud (73')
Hajdari (33'), Macek (49'), Cimignani (62'), Steffen (83'), Sabbatini (89')
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Lugano
2-1
Winterthur
Aliseda (15'), Arigoni (21')
Ardaiz (16')
Feb 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Winterthur
1-0
Lugano
Di Giusto (45')