Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.